Villefranche vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
UJA
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAN
2 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
MOU
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
OLY
3 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MOA
1 - 3
VIL
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
NAN
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
JUR
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
AND
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |