Ligue 2 - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 3-3
Villefranche vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 1
LYO
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
STA
2 - 3
VIL
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
AVR
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ORL
1 - 3
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
LUS
50%
26%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
NIO
0 - 2
GUI
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
AMI
0 - 0
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 1
ROD
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIO
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
NIO
0 - 3
TRO
19%
26%
56%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |