Villefranche vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
16º
15º
8
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
7 | 55 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 50 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 45 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 44 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
25% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ASN
2 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOB
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LMU
0 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAR
78%
14%
7%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
VIL
11%
17%
72%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
AUB
3 - 3
VER
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
AUB
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
FCR
32%
29%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
AUB
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUB
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |