Villefranche SJB vs USC Cortenais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
13º
14º
14º
2
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
4 | 47 |
1º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 46 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 45 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 45 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
8 | 42 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 34 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 30 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 14 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
98.5% | 54% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche SJB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AGD
2 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 3
EUA
20%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RSV
3 - 1
VIL
83%
11%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 6
FUR
8%
17%
75%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RSV
10 - 2
VIL
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
USC Cortenais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 3
OLY
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 0
COR
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
COR
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 5
BEA
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |