Villefranche SJB vs ES Fosséenne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+139%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
10º
25
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche SJB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SCR
0 - 0
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
VIL
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
OLY
7%
14%
78%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | +5 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
COR
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ES Fosséenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 2
OLY
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 2
ESF
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ESF
3 - 0
COR
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AGD
4 - 1
ESF
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ESF
2 - 0
EUA
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |