Villefranche SJB vs Ardziv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+139%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
10º
13
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche SJB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RSV
3 - 1
VIL
83%
11%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 6
FUR
8%
17%
75%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
RSV
10 - 2
VIL
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 6
11%
16%
73%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NIC
7 - 2
VIL
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ardziv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EUA
3 - 2
OLY
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUC
5 - 1
EUA
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IST
1 - 1
EUA
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EUA
2 - 3
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RSV
2 - 0
EUA
61%
19%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |