SAD Villaverde vs Aluche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SAD Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 2
PNT
34%
27%
39%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GSC
0 - 2
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
LUG
58%
25%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MOS
2 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aluche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 1
RMC
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RVM
0 - 1
ALU
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 2
MOB
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
ALU
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 0
MOB
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |