Villarrubia CF vs CD Tarancon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
12º
4º
39
1º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 0
VRU
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ALZ
1 - 1
VRU
65%
22%
13%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VRU
0 - 0
CDC
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VRU
2 - 1
CFP
50%
26%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
VRU
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tarancon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
0 - 1
QRE
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 1
TAR
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
1 - 1
TAR
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
CDC
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
TAR
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |