Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
Villarrubia CF vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ROD
2 - 4
VRU
37%
27%
37%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VRU
1 - 1
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
UBC
0 - 2
VRU
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ATT
1 - 1
VRU
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VRU
2 - 1
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
LIN
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MAL
3 - 1
ALM
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
4 - 1
LOJ
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
3 - 0
ANT
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |