Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-1
CP Villarrobledo vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Villarrobledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 3
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
LAN
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
UDS
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 3
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 1
NUC
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NUC
5 - 3
ESC
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SEL
0 - 0
ESC
9%
17%
74%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 0
CAY
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |