Villarreal vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 3
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 3
ELC
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
VIL
17%
26%
58%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
RAC
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
XER
0 - 2
SPO
18%
26%
57%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 4
XER
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
XER
1 - 3
CCF
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
XER
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
XER
1 - 2
UDL
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |