Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-3
Villarreal vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ATH
0 - 1
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
2 - 1
VIL
32%
29%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
VCF
39%
28%
33%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
RAC
2 - 1
VIL
37%
28%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 4
OSA
54%
26%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
2 - 1
VIL
32%
29%
40%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALA
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 0
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |