Villarreal vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
LEV
2 - 0
VIL
72%
20%
8%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAL
20%
31%
49%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
POL
1 - 1
VIL
71%
21%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
VAL
0 - 0
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
CIE
2 - 0
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
VAL
2 - 3
OLI
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
VAL
1 - 1
RON
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |