Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Villarreal vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
ALZ
1 - 1
VIL
51%
27%
22%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1980 |
VAL
2 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
VIL
3 - 0
JOV
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
UDQ
2 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
13%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
VIL
2 - 1
GAN
64%
22%
14%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
VAL
0 - 1
UDP
82%
13%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1980 |
VAL
2 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAL
52%
27%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALI
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
OLI
1 - 1
VAL
59%
24%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |