Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-8
Villarreal vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1993 |
EIB
4 - 2
VIL
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1993 |
VIL
2 - 4
LLE
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
MER
2 - 1
VIL
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1993 |
VIL
0 - 0
RMC
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
VIL
4 - 1
FCB
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1993 |
VCF
3 - 4
FCB
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
CDT
0 - 0
VCF
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
VCF
1 - 2
RMA
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
RSO
1 - 0
VCF
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
VCF
3 - 1
OSA
68%
20%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |