Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
Villarreal vs Tortosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
JUP
3 - 2
VIL
34%
31%
35%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
VIL
5 - 4
IBI
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIL
37%
26%
36%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
LLE
1 - 1
VIL
37%
30%
34%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 1
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tortosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
PBL
4 - 2
TOR
55%
25%
19%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIL
37%
26%
36%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
2 - 0
ATB
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
GIR
0 - 1
TOR
64%
22%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |