Europa League Last 16
Global 3-2
Villarreal vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SEV
2 - 0
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
GAL
51%
25%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATH
40%
25%
36%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
GAL
2 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ZAR
4 - 1
VIL
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ROM
4 - 1
INT
56%
22%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ROM
2 - 0
GAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 4
ROM
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
GAZ
1 - 0
ROM
29%
26%
45%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ROM
6 - 0
SIE
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |