Villarreal vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEV
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 0
VIL
4%
15%
81%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
HUE
3 - 3
VIL
20%
27%
53%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 4
VIL
8%
19%
73%
|
86 | 31 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATM
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
REC
2 - 2
RMC
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 5
RMC
13%
20%
67%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
RMC
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 2
CHI
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 0
GET
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |