Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
Villarreal vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
CDT
3 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 1
HER
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
RCF
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 2
UPL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
UES
0 - 0
VIL
67%
22%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
HUE
2 - 1
ZAR
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
ZAR
1 - 2
OSA
28%
28%
43%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
PUE
1 - 0
ZAR
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALA
52%
25%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
PUL
0 - 0
ZAR
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |