Villarreal vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 4
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
FCB
5 - 1
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
VCF
34%
26%
41%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEG
67%
20%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
83%
11%
6%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
SEV
3 - 2
RMA
17%
19%
63%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
RMA
2 - 2
BYM
43%
22%
35%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RMA
2 - 1
LEG
93%
6%
1%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |