Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-1
Villarreal vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
PAL
0 - 2
VIL
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1995 |
RJA
0 - 3
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1994 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDO
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
AMA
3 - 2
VIL
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1994 |
VIL
1 - 0
MLL
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
53%
27%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1995 |
RJA
0 - 3
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
RJA
1 - 1
YEC
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
CFC
1 - 2
RJA
50%
28%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1994 |
RJA
1 - 1
POL
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |