Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
33.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
MLL
0 - 1
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
VIL
3 - 1
CUL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CAD
1 - 0
VIL
60%
25%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
VIL
1 - 0
VAD
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
LOG
2 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
RAY
1 - 0
HER
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
RCF
1 - 2
RAY
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
RAY
2 - 0
UPL
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
UES
1 - 0
RAY
49%
29%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
RAY
1 - 1
VAL
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |