Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-1
Villarreal vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
PUE
4 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
VIL
1 - 3
BET
23%
28%
49%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
VIL
2 - 1
OVI
30%
31%
39%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
VIL
2 - 0
LOG
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
REC
1 - 0
MER
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
MER
1 - 1
SEV
49%
27%
25%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MUR
4 - 0
MER
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
MER
2 - 0
JOV
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1970 |
MER
3 - 0
HUE
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |