Villarreal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 1
SEV
53%
25%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
OSA
2 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
EVE
63%
22%
15%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 2
VIL
27%
28%
45%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 1
LEV
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 2
MUD
25%
26%
49%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
DVS
0 - 3
MUD
18%
25%
58%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
73%
17%
10%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
19%
25%
56%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | +1 |