Villarreal vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
VIL
2 - 2
ALG
62%
24%
14%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
NUL
1 - 1
VIL
30%
30%
41%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
VIL
3 - 0
LEV
45%
29%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
HER
4 - 3
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
LOR
1 - 0
POL
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
GRA
4 - 0
LOR
67%
23%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
CFC
1 - 0
LOR
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
LOR
1 - 0
ALB
35%
32%
33%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
AGD
3 - 0
LOR
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |