Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-1
Villarreal vs Lliria UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
EIB
2 - 0
VIL
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
VIL
2 - 0
LEV
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
LLI
0 - 3
VIL
29%
28%
44%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
VIL
0 - 1
LEG
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lliria UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
CAS
2 - 0
LLI
56%
26%
19%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
LLI
0 - 0
UES
33%
28%
40%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
LLI
0 - 3
VIL
29%
28%
44%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
SAB
3 - 0
LLI
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
ELD
0 - 3
LLI
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +2 |