Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
Villarreal vs Jávea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1991 |
JAV
1 - 0
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
SDS
1 - 1
VIL
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALB
86%
11%
3%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
VIN
1 - 2
VIL
22%
29%
49%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAG
80%
15%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Jávea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1991 |
JAV
1 - 0
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
JAV
2 - 0
ALB
67%
21%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CAN
1 - 1
JAV
34%
29%
37%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
JAV
1 - 0
PIN
58%
24%
17%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
MON
0 - 1
JAV
37%
28%
35%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |