Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Villarreal vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
INT
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 2
BET
55%
24%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
VCF
1 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATM
51%
25%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
INT
3 - 0
MES
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
INT
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
INT
19%
26%
55%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
UDI
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |