Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Villarreal vs Huesca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
RMA
14%
20%
67%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
VKP
3 - 3
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
RAY
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
HUE
3 - 2
VIL
22%
27%
51%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GET
2 - 0
VIL
37%
28%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Huesca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
HUE
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HUE
1 - 2
MIR
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
HUE
3 - 2
VIL
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 0
HUE
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HUE
0 - 1
OVI
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |