Villarreal vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
YEC
1 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
9%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
OLI
1 - 2
VIL
33%
29%
39%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
VIL
3 - 2
ALZ
50%
27%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDR
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
HER
3 - 0
OLI
87%
10%
4%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
ALZ
2 - 0
HER
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
HER
5 - 0
TOR
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
CDR
0 - 0
HER
21%
29%
50%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
HER
5 - 0
GET
54%
28%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |