Villarreal vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
RCF
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 2
UPL
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
UES
0 - 0
VIL
67%
22%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
VIL
1 - 3
VAL
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
XER
2 - 2
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1972 |
CDT
3 - 0
HER
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
HER
1 - 2
RCF
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
HER
2 - 0
UES
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
VAL
0 - 0
HER
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
HER
1 - 0
XER
59%
25%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |