Villarreal vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 1
FCB
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
OSA
3 - 2
VIL
37%
27%
35%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
BAT
0 - 2
VIL
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
RAC
0 - 2
VIL
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
FIO
3 - 0
SIE
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FIO
1 - 1
JUV
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
FIO
1 - 1
GRO
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LIV
0 - 3
FIO
32%
29%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
FIO
2 - 2
ROM
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |