UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Villarreal vs FH Hafnarfjordur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2002 |
SEV
1 - 0
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 1
ZAR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCB
4 - 1
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ESP
3 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEL
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
FHH
1 - 2
CEM
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2002 |
KEF
1 - 1
FHH
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
CEM
1 - 3
FHH
47%
24%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2002 |
FHH
0 - 1
KAA
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
FHH
3 - 2
GRI
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |