Villarreal vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
RBS
2 - 0
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DEP
1 - 0
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
RMA
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 2
VIL
32%
26%
42%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
LSO
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
XER
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
MAL
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DEP
2 - 3
ESP
47%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 3
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |