Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 0-3
Villarreal vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
VIL
2 - 3
ALC
58%
28%
14%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ORI
2 - 1
VIL
51%
28%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 2
VIL
87%
11%
3%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +3 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAB
45%
31%
24%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
MLL
1 - 1
VIL
77%
18%
6%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1977 |
BET
2 - 0
ESP
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 0
BET
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |