Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Villarreal vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
CDM
3 - 1
VIL
28%
30%
42%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1972 |
PBL
1 - 0
VIL
49%
28%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
VIL
0 - 1
OLI
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATB
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
ELD
2 - 0
VIL
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
ELD
0 - 0
POR
55%
27%
19%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
XER
1 - 0
ELD
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
ELD
2 - 0
VIL
36%
27%
38%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ELD
2 - 2
SFE
58%
25%
17%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
MAL
0 - 0
ELD
48%
28%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |