Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Villarreal vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAL
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LEV
0 - 3
VIL
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
ELC
0 - 1
VIL
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
GET
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ELC
0 - 2
ATM
15%
24%
60%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ELC
2 - 1
VCF
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GET
1 - 1
ELC
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
ELC
0 - 1
VIL
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
ATH
2 - 2
ELC
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |