Villarreal vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 1
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 0
SCH
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 2
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
BRU
1 - 1
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 2
BET
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
RSO
1 - 1
CEL
56%
24%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 1
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
SLP
2 - 0
CEL
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |