Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-4
Villarreal vs CE Europa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
MHN
0 - 0
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
EUR
3 - 0
VIL
53%
23%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
VIL
3 - 1
SDS
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ATB
1 - 1
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
4 - 1
EUR
56%
23%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
GAV
1 - 1
EUR
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
LOG
2 - 0
EUR
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
EUR
3 - 0
VIL
53%
23%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
EUR
1 - 0
CFV
68%
20%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
REU
0 - 0
EUR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |