Villarreal vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
REC
0 - 4
VIL
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 2
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CDT
3 - 1
VIL
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEV
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
VIL
3 - 0
EXT
43%
27%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CDT
2 - 0
ELC
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
EIB
2 - 1
CDT
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CDT
0 - 0
GET
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
CDB
1 - 1
CDT
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
CDT
0 - 2
ALB
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |