Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 5-2
Villarreal vs CD La Unión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
LAP
1 - 5
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
VIL
2 - 0
TCF
73%
18%
10%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
ADC
0 - 0
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
VIL
5 - 0
MNC
68%
20%
12%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1969 |
UNI
2 - 1
VIL
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD La Unión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
UNI
1 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
UNI
1 - 0
IMP
32%
27%
41%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
GRA
1 - 0
UNI
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAF
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1969 |
UNI
2 - 1
VIL
56%
22%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |