Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-0
Villarreal vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 2
BET
55%
25%
20%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
RSO
0 - 1
VIL
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIL
19%
28%
53%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 1
LEV
62%
23%
15%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 0
ESP
56%
25%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 1
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALB
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 2
VIL
19%
28%
53%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAS
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |