Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Villarreal vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
VIL
2 - 1
BEN
71%
21%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
ALC
0 - 1
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
VIL
4 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
UBC
0 - 6
VIL
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALZ
36%
30%
34%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
CAS
0 - 2
XER
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
CAS
1 - 0
SSC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
ATH
0 - 0
CAS
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |