Villarreal vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1971 |
OVI
0 - 0
VIL
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
FCB
2 - 0
VIL
90%
7%
3%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1971 |
VIL
1 - 0
FCB
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 86 | 40 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
LOG
3 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
VIL
1 - 0
MLL
28%
31%
42%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1971 |
BUR
1 - 1
MLL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
RAY
1 - 2
BUR
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
BUR
2 - 1
RCF
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
RAC
1 - 0
BUR
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
BUR
1 - 0
CCF
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |