UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Villarreal vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 4
BET
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ATM
3 - 2
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
VIL
5 - 0
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 1
BRE
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 1
BRI
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BRE
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |