Villarreal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ALA
1 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 1
ATH
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
VIL
34%
28%
38%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ESP
1 - 2
VIL
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 2
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
MUD
2 - 1
SLB
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 3
SLB
18%
23%
60%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SLB
4 - 0
UDL
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |