Villarreal vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 0
AST
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LEV
0 - 2
VIL
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
AST
0 - 3
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 2
VIL
27%
27%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 2
SAS
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 0
ELC
93%
6%
2%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HJK
0 - 6
FCB
6%
14%
79%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 0
FCB
21%
22%
58%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
FCB
5%
13%
82%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
REC
0 - 1
FCB
4%
12%
84%
|
96 | 71 | 25 | 0 |