Villarreal vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BHA
4 - 0
VIL
39%
24%
37%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 2
VIL
69%
17%
14%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
0 - 0
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
VIL
16%
20%
63%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 3
VIL
13%
19%
68%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 2
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 6
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GET
1 - 3
ATM
17%
23%
61%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
NUM
89%
9%
2%
|
94 | 54 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | +1 |