Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Villarreal vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 2
SEV
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ZAR
3 - 2
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
VIL
3 - 1
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCB
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
SPO
2 - 4
VIL
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 2
CDT
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
OSA
0 - 1
ATH
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
ATH
2 - 0
SLA
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAY
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
SLA
2 - 2
ATH
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |