Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-0
Villarreal vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
VIL
0 - 1
RMC
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
LEG
1 - 1
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1993 |
ARO
0 - 1
VIL
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
VIL
3 - 1
LUG
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1993 |
MLL
0 - 1
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
ARO
1 - 2
SPB
33%
31%
36%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
AVI
1 - 0
ARO
75%
18%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1993 |
ARO
0 - 1
VIL
27%
28%
45%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
PON
0 - 1
ARO
61%
22%
16%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
ARO
4 - 1
PON
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |